Hayes Contrasts AI Spending with Bitcoin's Value
Arthur Hayes, co-founder of Bitmex, contends that the current surge in investment surrounding artificial intelligence firms like OpenAI and Anthropic is unsustainable and ultimately a waste of capital. Speaking on the Convergence podcast with Luke Martin, Hayes framed the AI sector as reliant on continuous government support, suggesting its long-term viability is questionable.
Hayes’ central argument revolves around the idea that massive capital inflows into AI are not driven by genuine market demand, but by a speculative bubble fueled by government backing. He believes this situation is analogous to the 2008 financial crisis, where institutions were bailed out, and the resulting monetary policy indirectly benefited Bitcoin.
According to Hayes, the more money poured into these AI ventures, the greater the eventual need for a “bailout” or continued government intervention. He posits that this cycle will ultimately drive investors towards Bitcoin as a more sound and decentralized alternative. He specifically highlighted that money is being wasted on projects with questionable returns, and that Bitcoin will absorb capital fleeing those ventures.
While not offering a specific price target for Bitcoin (BTC), Hayes’ assessment suggests a bullish outlook for the cryptocurrency as the perceived risks within the AI sector intensify. He frames Bitcoin as a safe haven asset, particularly in an environment of increasing financial instability and government intervention.
Market context
Market data reflects conditions at publication time and is not updated in real time.
Data captured at: Oct 17, 2026 14:35 (Tehran)
Likely market impact
| Segment | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Bitcoin | ▲ Bullish |
| Ethereum | ● Neutral |
| Altcoins | ● Neutral |
| Short term | ▲ Positive |
| Long term | ▲ Positive |
Spot prices at publication
Fear & Greed Index
Chart
Source: Bitcoin.com News